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Bot: no list would have a majority, APB-CP largest

Bot (Tarragona, 566 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

APB-CP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 44.4% of the vote (2023: 43.3%) Majority 37%
SB-MTE - C±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 35.9% of the vote (2023: 37.4%) Majority 1%
CM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 19.5% of the vote (2023: 19.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 62% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Bot

Bot is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 566 inhabitants, the 113th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 APB-CP came first with 43.3% of the vote and 3 seats; SB-MTE - C was second with 3. 87.4% of the 462 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: APB-CP would be largest on 3 of 7.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. APB-CPPSOE 43.3% → 44.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. SB-MTE - CSumar, Podemos and allies 37.4% → 35.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. CMJunts 19.1% → 19.5% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 404 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Bot in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →