La Nou de Gaià: SOM - AM would win a majority
La Nou de Gaià (Tarragona, 636 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 70%SOM - AM majority
- 325valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
SOM - AM+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 52.0% of the vote (2023: 43.7%)
Majority 70%
CM−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 44.3% of the vote (2023: 52.6%)
Majority 30%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- SOM - AMERC 43.7% → 52.0% 3 → 4 councillors
- CMJunts 52.6% → 44.3% 4 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 325 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.