Ginestar: CM would keep its majority
Ginestar (Tarragona, 790 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 94%CM majority
- 470valid votes in 2023 (83% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CM−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 54.7% of the vote (2023: 56.2%)
Majority 94%
PLA/G+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 37.2% of the vote (2023: 33.4%)
Majority 6%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 56.2% → 54.7% 5 → 4 councillors
- PLA/GLocal lists 33.4% → 37.2% 2 → 3 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 7.2% → 4.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 470 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.