Freginals: AF-AM would win a majority
Freginals (Tarragona, 388 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 76%AF-AM majority
- 226valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
AF-AM+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 52.1% of the vote (2023: 43.8%)
Majority 76%
CM−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 43.1% of the vote (2023: 51.3%)
Majority 24%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AF-AMERC 43.8% → 52.1% 3 → 4 councillors
- CMJunts 51.3% → 43.1% 4 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 226 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.