El Molar: AM - AM would keep its majority
El Molar (Tarragona, 296 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%AM - AM majority
- 191valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
AM - AM±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 82.0% of the vote (2023: 77.0%)
Majority over 99%
CM±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 15.4% of the vote (2023: 20.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AM - AMERC 77.0% → 82.0% 6 → 6 councillors
- CMJunts 20.4% → 15.4% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 191 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.