España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Constantí: PSC would keep its majority

Constantí (Tarragona, 6,685 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSC−2
7 councillors (2023: 9) · 49.9% of the vote (2023: 57.2%) Majority 80%
ERC - AM+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 28.9% of the vote (2023: 23.7%) Majority 1%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.7% of the vote (2023: 9.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 19% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSCPSOE 57.2% → 49.9% 9 → 7 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 23.7% → 28.9% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.2% → 14.7% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. PPPP 5.0% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. CECP-CSumar, Podemos and allies 3.5% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,317 valid votes including 34 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Constantí in size, in Tarragona

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