Cabra del Camp: CM would keep its majority
Cabra del Camp (Tarragona, 1,254 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 71%CM majority
- 562valid votes in 2023 (59% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 26% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Cabra del Camp
Cabra del Camp is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 1,254 inhabitants, the 76th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 50.9% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; APC-AM was second with 3. 58.7% of the 958 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 71% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 50.9% → 44.6% 5 → 5 councillors
- APC-AMERC 25.8% → 32.0% 3 → 3 councillors
- VVUULocal lists 11.2% → 11.2% 1 → 1 councillors
- FUTUROLocal lists 5.9% → 5.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- DPCLocal lists 5.0% → 5.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 562 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.