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Bonastre: CP would keep its majority

Bonastre (Tarragona, 742 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 47.4% of the vote (2023: 51.8%) Majority 57%
ERC - AM+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 29.8% of the vote (2023: 23.2%) Majority 0%
CM−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.3% of the vote (2023: 23.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 43% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CPPSOE 51.8% → 47.4% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 23.2% → 29.8% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. CMJunts 23.5% → 21.3% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 332 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Bonastre in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →