Almoster: ERC - AM would win a majority
Almoster (Tarragona, 1,334 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 52%ERC - AM majority
- 642valid votes in 2023 (60% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ERC - AM+2
5
councillors (2023: 3) · 46.6% of the vote (2023: 37.5%)
Majority 52%
CM−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 33.2% of the vote (2023: 37.9%)
Majority 2%
AECP - C−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 16.6% of the vote (2023: 21.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 46% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 37.5% → 46.6% 3 → 5 councillors
- CMJunts 37.9% → 33.2% 4 → 3 councillors
- AECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 21.0% → 16.6% 2 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 642 valid votes including 23 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.