San Pedro Manrique: PP would win a majority
San Pedro Manrique (Soria, 643 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 47%SPMYP majority
- 291valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 13% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About San Pedro Manrique
San Pedro Manrique is a municipality in the province of Soria with 643 inhabitants, the 18th largest of its 183 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 44.7% of the vote and 3 seats; SPMYP was second with 3. 73.1% of the 398 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 40% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 44.7% → 44.8% 3 → 4 councillors
- SPMYPLocal lists 41.6% → 44.1% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 12.4% → 9.7% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 291 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.