San Pedro Manrique: PP would win a majority
San Pedro Manrique (Soria, 643 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 47%SPMYP majority
- 291valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 44.8% of the vote (2023: 44.7%)
Majority 40%
SPMYP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 44.1% of the vote (2023: 41.6%)
Majority 47%
PSOE−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 9.7% of the vote (2023: 12.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 13% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 44.7% → 44.8% 3 → 4 councillors
- SPMYPLocal lists 41.6% → 44.1% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 12.4% → 9.7% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 291 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.