España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

San Juan de Aznalfarache: no list would have a majority, PP largest

San Juan de Aznalfarache (Sevilla, 22,138 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 26.8% of the vote (2023: 28.0%) Majority 0%
PSOE-A±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 21.3% of the vote (2023: 25.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 17.7% of the vote (2023: 11.1%) Majority 0%
CSJ±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 14.7% of the vote (2023: 14.4%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.4% of the vote (2023: 5.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 28.0% → 26.8% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 25.0% → 21.3% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.1% → 17.7% 3 → 4 councillors
  4. CSJLocal lists 14.4% → 14.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  5. P.S.J.A.Local lists 4.5% → 4.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PCTELocal lists 3.6% → 3.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 5.8% → 3.4% 1 → 0 councillors
  8. CSCiudadanos 3.2% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. ADELANTE ANDALUCÍALocal lists 2.1% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. SAN JUAN YALocal lists 1.1% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,913 valid votes including 114 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near San Juan de Aznalfarache in size, in Sevilla

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