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Las Cabezas de San Juan: no list would have a majority, CON ANDALUCÍA largest

Las Cabezas de San Juan (Sevilla, 16,386 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CON ANDALUCÍA−2
7 councillors (2023: 9) · 40.7% of the vote (2023: 44.2%) Majority 16%
PSOE-A±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 37.6% of the vote (2023: 38.9%) Majority 7%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.2% of the vote (2023: 8.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.0% of the vote (2023: 2.4%) Majority 0%
VAC+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 5.3% of the vote (2023: 4.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 77% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 44.2% → 40.7% 9 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 38.9% → 37.6% 7 → 7 councillors
  3. PPPP 8.7% → 8.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 2.4% → 7.0% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. VACLocal lists 4.7% → 5.3% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,203 valid votes including 90 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Las Cabezas de San Juan in size, in Sevilla

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