Estepa: PSOE would keep its majority
Estepa (Sevilla, 12,390 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 61%PSOE majority
- 6,591valid votes in 2023 (68% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
9
councillors (2023: 10) · 48.4% of the vote (2023: 52.7%)
Majority 61%
PP±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 29.2% of the vote (2023: 30.1%)
Majority 0%
IXE±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 12.3% of the vote (2023: 11.8%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 9.0% of the vote (2023: 4.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 39% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 52.7% → 48.4% 10 → 9 councillors
- PPPP 30.1% → 29.2% 5 → 5 councillors
- IXELocal lists 11.8% → 12.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 4.2% → 9.0% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,591 valid votes including 77 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.