Villacastín: VOX would win a majority
Villacastín (Segovia, 1,524 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 66%VOX majority
- 857valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
VOX+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 49.1% of the vote (2023: 39.0%)
Majority 66%
PSOE−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 28.6% of the vote (2023: 35.5%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 20.9% of the vote (2023: 24.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 34% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- VOXVox 39.0% → 49.1% 4 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 35.5% → 28.6% 3 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 24.2% → 20.9% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 857 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.