Sebúlcor: PP would keep its majority
Sebúlcor (Segovia, 265 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 55%no list with a majority
- 175valid votes in 2023 (87% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 55% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Sebúlcor
Sebúlcor is a municipality in the province of Segovia with 265 inhabitants, the 69th largest of its 208 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 45.1% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 86.6% of the 202 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 45% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 45.1% → 46.0% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 32.0% → 29.5% 2 → 2 councillors
- ISBLocal lists 21.1% → 22.8% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 175 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.