Samboal: AIS would keep its majority
Samboal (Segovia, 464 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 78%AIS majority
- 293valid votes in 2023 (80% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
AIS±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 49.9% of the vote (2023: 46.8%)
Majority 78%
PSOE±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 26.2% of the vote (2023: 29.0%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 21.2% of the vote (2023: 21.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 22% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AISLocal lists 46.8% → 49.9% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 29.0% → 26.2% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 21.5% → 21.2% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 293 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.