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Lastras de Cuéllar: PP would keep its majority

Lastras de Cuéllar (Segovia, 322 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 58.5% of the vote (2023: 56.5%) Majority 94%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 39.7% of the vote (2023: 41.8%) Majority 6%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Lastras de Cuéllar

Lastras de Cuéllar is a municipality in the province of Segovia with 322 inhabitants, the 59th largest of its 208 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 56.5% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 81.7% of the 284 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 94% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 56.5% → 58.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 41.8% → 39.7% 3 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 232 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Lastras de Cuéllar in size, in Segovia

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