Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Carbonero el Mayor: PP would keep its majority

Carbonero el Mayor (Segovia, 2,476 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 56.0% of the vote (2023: 54.2%) Majority 94%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 37.4% of the vote (2023: 39.6%) Majority 6%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 54.2% → 56.0% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 39.6% → 37.4% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. CSCiudadanos 5.1% → 5.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,360 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Carbonero el Mayor in size, in Segovia

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