España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

San Cristóbal de La Laguna: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

San Cristóbal de La Laguna (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 157,815 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
10 councillors (2023: 10) · 30.8% of the vote (2023: 32.6%) Majority 1%
CCA−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 23.8% of the vote (2023: 27.4%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.1% of the vote (2023: 7.5%) Majority 0%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 12.0% of the vote (2023: 12.3%) Majority 0%
DVC±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 6.8% of the vote (2023: 6.2%) Majority 0%
USP−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 5.1% of the vote (2023: 7.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 32.6% → 30.8% 10 → 10 councillors
  2. CCACoalición Canaria 27.4% → 23.8% 8 → 7 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.5% → 14.1% 2 → 4 councillors
  4. PPPP 12.3% → 12.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  5. DVCLocal lists 6.2% → 6.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. USPSumar, Podemos and allies 7.3% → 5.1% 2 → 1 councillors
  7. PACMALocal lists 2.3% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. NC-FACLocal lists 2.1% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. CSCiudadanos 0.7% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. REUNIR CANARIAS SOSTENIBLELocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 72,048 valid votes including 1,057 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near San Cristóbal de La Laguna in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

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