España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Los Realejos: PP would keep its majority

Los Realejos (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 37,076 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
15 councillors (2023: 15) · 62.5% of the vote (2023: 61.3%) Majority over 99%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 19.8% of the vote (2023: 22.5%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 6.8% of the vote (2023: 2.4%) Majority 0%
CCA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.1% of the vote (2023: 6.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 61.3% → 62.5% 15 → 15 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 22.5% → 19.8% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 2.4% → 6.8% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. CCACoalición Canaria 6.0% → 5.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. AHORA CANARIAS-IRLocal lists 2.0% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. USPSumar, Podemos and allies 4.0% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 20,928 valid votes including 229 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Los Realejos in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

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