Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Fasnia: PSOE would keep its majority

Fasnia (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 2,849 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 59.6% of the vote (2023: 61.1%) Majority over 99%
CCA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 24.5% of the vote (2023: 28.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 61.1% → 59.6% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. CCACoalición Canaria 28.3% → 24.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 2.5% → 7.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. DVCLocal lists 4.8% → 5.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. AHORA CANARIAS -LA ALTERNATIVA DE FASNIALocal lists 2.5% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,800 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Fasnia in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

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