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Topas: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Topas (Salamanca, 512 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 42.0% of the vote (2023: 47.1%) Majority 23%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 38.2% of the vote (2023: 39.9%) Majority 6%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 19.3% of the vote (2023: 12.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 71% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Topas

Topas is a municipality in the province of Salamanca with 512 inhabitants, the 54th largest of its 362 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 47.1% of the vote and 3 seats; PP was second with 3. 83.1% of the 455 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 3 of 7.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 47.1% → 42.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PPPP 39.9% → 38.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 12.4% → 19.3% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 378 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Topas in size, in Salamanca

Every municipality in Salamanca → · All of Spain →