Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Peñaparda: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Peñaparda (Salamanca, 326 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 45.0% of the vote (2023: 44.7%) Majority 36%
PPC±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 38.6% of the vote (2023: 36.3%) Majority 2%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.6% of the vote (2023: 18.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 62% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 44.7% → 45.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PPCLocal lists 36.3% → 38.6% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 18.3% → 15.6% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 262 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Peñaparda in size, in Salamanca

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