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Hinojosa de Duero: PP would keep its majority

Hinojosa de Duero (Salamanca, 612 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 60.0% of the vote (2023: 60.0%) Majority 96%
SALAMANCA Sͱ0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 38.2% of the vote (2023: 36.4%) Majority 4%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Hinojosa de Duero

Hinojosa de Duero is a municipality in the province of Salamanca with 612 inhabitants, the 47th largest of its 362 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 60% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; SALAMANCA SÍ was second with 3. 80.8% of the 551 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 96% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 60.0% → 60.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. SALAMANCA SÍLocal lists 36.4% → 38.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 1.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 445 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Hinojosa de Duero in size, in Salamanca

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