España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Vilagarcía de Arousa: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Vilagarcía de Arousa (Pontevedra, 37,677 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 34.8% of the vote (2023: 36.3%) Majority 1%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 31.7% of the vote (2023: 36.1%) Majority under 1%
B.N.G.+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.2% of the vote (2023: 11.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.7% of the vote (2023: 3.4%) Majority 0%
EU−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.8% of the vote (2023: 6.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 36.3% → 34.8% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 36.1% → 31.7% 9 → 8 councillors
  3. B.N.G.BNG 11.9% → 18.2% 2 → 4 councillors
  4. VOXVox 3.4% → 7.7% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. EUSumar, Podemos and allies 6.2% → 3.8% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 4.8% → 2.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 17,576 valid votes including 227 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Vilagarcía de Arousa in size, in Pontevedra

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