A Illa de Arousa: no list would have a majority, B.N.G. largest
A Illa de Arousa (Pontevedra, 4,878 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 87%no list with a majority
- 3,350valid votes in 2023 (81% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
B.N.G.+2
5
councillors (2023: 3) · 38.6% of the vote (2023: 27.6%)
Majority 7%
PP−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 38.2% of the vote (2023: 43.3%)
Majority 6%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 22.8% of the vote (2023: 28.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 87% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- B.N.G.BNG 27.6% → 38.6% 3 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 43.3% → 38.2% 5 → 4 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 28.8% → 22.8% 3 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,350 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.