España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

San Amaro: PP would keep its majority

San Amaro (Ourense, 1,042 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 69.6% of the vote (2023: 68.6%) Majority over 99%
XUNTOS±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.9% of the vote (2023: 19.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About San Amaro

San Amaro is a municipality in the province of Ourense with 1,042 inhabitants, the 63rd largest of its 92 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 68.6% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; XUNTOS was second with 2. 81.2% of the 957 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 68.6% → 69.6% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. XUNTOSLocal lists 19.7% → 20.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. ESCOLocal lists 4.8% → 5.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 6.6% → 4.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 777 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near San Amaro in size, in Ourense

Every municipality in Ourense → · All of Spain →