Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Castrelo do Val: PSDEG-PSOE would keep its majority

Castrelo do Val (Ourense, 969 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSDEG-PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 58.9% of the vote (2023: 64.0%) Majority 99%
PP−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 23.4% of the vote (2023: 24.4%) Majority 0%
B.N.G.+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 17.2% of the vote (2023: 11.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 64.0% → 58.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 24.4% → 23.4% 2 → 1 councillors
  3. B.N.G.BNG 11.2% → 17.2% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 663 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Castrelo do Val in size, in Ourense

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