Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cartelle: PP would keep its majority

Cartelle (Ourense, 2,578 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 67.3% of the vote (2023: 71.2%) Majority over 99%
B.N.G.+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 21.4% of the vote (2023: 14.5%) Majority 0%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.1% of the vote (2023: 10.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 71.2% → 67.3% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. B.N.G.BNG 14.5% → 21.4% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 10.2% → 7.1% 1 → 0 councillors
  4. D.O.Local lists 3.7% → 3.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,811 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cartelle in size, in Ourense

Every municipality in Ourense → · All of Spain →