Carballeda de Valdeorras: PP would keep its majority
Carballeda de Valdeorras (Ourense, 1,409 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 940valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Carballeda de Valdeorras
Carballeda de Valdeorras is a municipality in the province of Ourense with 1,409 inhabitants, the 42nd largest of its 92 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 71.1% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; CR-23 was second with 1. 77.8% of the 1,209 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 71.1% → 72.3% 8 → 8 councillors
- CR-23Local lists 16.0% → 17.0% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 8.1% → 5.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- ESCOLocal lists 4.3% → 4.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 940 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.