A Merca: PP would keep its majority
A Merca (Ourense, 1,966 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 93%PP majority
- 1,268valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 7% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About A Merca
A Merca is a municipality in the province of Ourense with 1,966 inhabitants, the 25th largest of its 92 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 59.2% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSDEG-PSOE was second with 2. 73.2% of the 1,733 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 93% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 59.2% → 55.6% 6 → 6 councillors
- B.N.G.BNG 16.3% → 24.1% 1 → 2 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 22.2% → 18.1% 2 → 1 councillors
- D.O.Local lists 1.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,268 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near A Merca in size, in Ourense
- A Pobra de Trives2,019 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- San Cristovo de Cea2,042 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Nogueira de Ramuín2,081 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Vilamarín1,847 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Vilamartín de Valdeorras1,825 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- A Peroxa1,805 inhabitants · 9 councillors