Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

A Bola: PP would keep its majority

A Bola (Ourense, 1,088 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 56.1% of the vote (2023: 65.9%) Majority 82%
B.N.G.+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 43.3% of the vote (2023: 32.5%) Majority 18%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 65.9% → 56.1% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. B.N.G.BNG 32.5% → 43.3% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 1.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 810 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near A Bola in size, in Ourense

Every municipality in Ourense → · All of Spain →