Erro: no list would have a majority, AIVE largest
Erro (Navarra, 796 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 92%no list with a majority
- 532valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
AIVE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 39.4% of the vote (2023: 39.7%)
Majority 8%
HZM±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 29.8% of the vote (2023: 30.1%)
Majority 0%
EH BILDU±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 29.5% of the vote (2023: 28.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 92% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AIVELocal lists 39.7% → 39.4% 3 → 3 councillors
- HZMLocal lists 30.1% → 29.8% 2 → 2 councillors
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 28.9% → 29.5% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 532 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.