Villanueva del Trabuco: TRABUCOSI would win a majority
Villanueva del Trabuco (Málaga, 5,340 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 51%no list with a majority
- 3,094valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
TRABUCOSI+1
7
councillors (2023: 6) · 47.6% of the vote (2023: 44.6%)
Majority 49%
PSOE-A−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 27.0% of the vote (2023: 29.7%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 23.9% of the vote (2023: 24.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 51% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- TRABUCOSILocal lists 44.6% → 47.6% 6 → 7 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 29.7% → 27.0% 4 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 24.1% → 23.9% 3 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,094 valid votes including 47 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.