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Álora: PSOE-A would keep its majority

Álora (Málaga, 13,382 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
12 councillors (2023: 13) · 58.0% of the vote (2023: 60.5%) Majority over 99%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.0% of the vote (2023: 18.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.6% of the vote (2023: 3.0%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 9.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 60.5% → 58.0% 13 → 12 councillors
  2. PPPP 18.3% → 18.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 3.0% → 7.6% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 9.1% → 6.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. POR MI PUEBLOLocal lists 3.7% → 4.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 3.5% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. TÚPATRIALocal lists 1.2% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,767 valid votes including 49 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Álora in size, in Málaga

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