Móstoles: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Móstoles (Madrid, 208,761 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 27councillors, 14 for a majority
- 86%no list with a majority
- 102,228valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 86% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Móstoles
Móstoles is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 208,761 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 27 seats, and 14 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 37.4% of the vote and 12 seats; PSOE was second with 7. 65.6% of the 155,876 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 12 of 27.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 37.4% → 37.6% 12 → 12 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 22.3% → 19.7% 7 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 10.5% → 17.6% 3 → 5 councillors
- MMSumar, Podemos and allies 15.6% → 12.6% 4 → 4 councillors
- MXFLocal lists 3.1% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 5.3% → 3.1% 1 → 0 councillors
- SOMOSMASLocal lists 2.7% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.5% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- ATMLocal lists 0.4% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- FE DE LAS JONSLocal lists 0.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 102,228 valid votes including 1,216 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.