España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Los Santos de la Humosa: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Los Santos de la Humosa (Madrid, 2,751 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 41.6% of the vote (2023: 45.5%) Majority 12%
PP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 39.7% of the vote (2023: 40.4%) Majority 10%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.7% of the vote (2023: 10.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 78% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 45.5% → 41.6% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 40.4% → 39.7% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.1% → 16.7% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 3.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,350 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Los Santos de la Humosa in size, in Madrid

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