Leganés: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Leganés (Madrid, 186,660 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 27councillors, 14 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 96,571valid votes in 2023 (69% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Leganés
Leganés is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 186,660 inhabitants, the 5th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 27 seats, and 14 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 31.7% of the vote and 9 seats; PSOE was second with 8. 68.6% of the 140,675 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 10 of 27.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 31.7% → 31.8% 9 → 10 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 27.4% → 24.8% 8 → 8 councillors
- VOXVox 7.9% → 14.2% 2 → 4 councillors
- ULEGLocal lists 11.5% → 12.3% 3 → 3 councillors
- MM-VQ LEGANÉSSumar, Podemos and allies 10.6% → 8.0% 3 → 2 councillors
- PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 6.6% → 4.3% 2 → 0 councillors
- LEGANEMOSLocal lists 1.6% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.2% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- PCPELocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- UNIDOS-DEFLocal lists 0.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 96,571 valid votes including 1,131 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.