España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Humanes de Madrid: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Humanes de Madrid (Madrid, 19,838 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 39.9% of the vote (2023: 41.1%) Majority 15%
VHM+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 20.1% of the vote (2023: 19.6%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 17.8% of the vote (2023: 21.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.1% of the vote (2023: 10.5%) Majority 0%
PODEMOS-IU-AV−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.9% of the vote (2023: 6.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 85% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 41.1% → 39.9% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. VHMLocal lists 19.6% → 20.1% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 21.2% → 17.8% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 10.5% → 17.1% 2 → 3 councillors
  5. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 6.3% → 3.9% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,916 valid votes including 108 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Humanes de Madrid in size, in Madrid

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