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Garganta de los Montes: no list would have a majority, CONCEJO largest

Garganta de los Montes (Madrid, 395 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CONCEJO−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 43.2% of the vote (2023: 42.7%) Majority 38%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 26.0% of the vote (2023: 30.2%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 18.4% of the vote (2023: 19.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 11.8% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 62% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Garganta de los Montes

Garganta de los Montes is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 395 inhabitants, the 154th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CONCEJO came first with 42.7% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 82.1% of the 351 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CONCEJO would be largest on 3 of 7.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CONCEJOLocal lists 42.7% → 43.2% 4 → 3 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 30.2% → 26.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 19.8% → 18.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 6.6% → 11.8% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 288 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Garganta de los Montes in size, in Madrid

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