Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Fuenlabrada: PSOE would keep its majority

Fuenlabrada (Madrid, 189,891 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
15 councillors (2023: 16) · 51.3% of the vote (2023: 54.3%) Majority 82%
PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 24.1% of the vote (2023: 24.4%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
5 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.6% of the vote (2023: 11.1%) Majority 0%
MM-VQ FUENLABRADA−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.2% of the vote (2023: 5.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 18% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 54.3% → 51.3% 16 → 15 councillors
  2. PPPP 24.4% → 24.1% 7 → 7 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.1% → 18.6% 3 → 5 councillors
  4. MM-VQ FUENLABRADASumar, Podemos and allies 5.4% → 3.2% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 0.9% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 3.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 95,482 valid votes including 768 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Fuenlabrada in size, in Madrid

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