Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Alcalá de Henares: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Alcalá de Henares (Madrid, 196,888 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
11 councillors (2023: 11) · 36.1% of the vote (2023: 35.5%) Majority 5%
PSOE−1
10 councillors (2023: 11) · 34.8% of the vote (2023: 37.2%) Majority 4%
VOX+3
6 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.4% of the vote (2023: 11.6%) Majority 0%
MM-VQ ALCALÁ DE HENARES−2
0 councillors (2023: 2) · 4.2% of the vote (2023: 6.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 91% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 35.5% → 36.1% 11 → 11 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 37.2% → 34.8% 11 → 10 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.6% → 19.4% 3 → 6 councillors
  4. MM-VQ ALCALÁ DE HENARESSumar, Podemos and allies 6.5% → 4.2% 2 → 0 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 2.5% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. IUSumar, Podemos and allies 2.8% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. PHLocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. FE DE LAS JONSLocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 94,197 valid votes including 1,085 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alcalá de Henares in size, in Madrid

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