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Mondoñedo: PP would keep its majority

Mondoñedo (Lugo, 3,503 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 48.8% of the vote (2023: 53.1%) Majority 62%
B.N.G.+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 29.5% of the vote (2023: 20.4%) Majority 0%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 20.5% of the vote (2023: 25.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 38% of 300 simulated elections.

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Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Mondoñedo

Mondoñedo is a municipality in the province of Lugo with 3,503 inhabitants, the 18th largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 53.1% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSDEG-PSOE was second with 3. 67.7% of the 2,992 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 62% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 53.1% → 48.8% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. B.N.G.BNG 20.4% → 29.5% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 25.3% → 20.5% 3 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,027 valid votes including 25 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Mondoñedo in size, in Lugo

Every municipality in Lugo → · All of Spain →