Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Lugo: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Lugo (Lugo, 97,211 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
11 councillors (2023: 12) · 39.0% of the vote (2023: 43.6%) Majority 12%
B.N.G.+2
7 councillors (2023: 5) · 28.2% of the vote (2023: 19.9%) Majority under 1%
PSDEG-PSOE−2
6 councillors (2023: 8) · 22.1% of the vote (2023: 27.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 5.9% of the vote (2023: 2.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 88% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Lugo

Lugo is a municipality in the province of Lugo with 97,211 inhabitants, the largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 43.6% of the vote and 12 seats; PSDEG-PSOE was second with 8. 63.5% of the 77,569 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 11 of 25.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 43.6% → 39.0% 12 → 11 councillors
  2. B.N.G.BNG 19.9% → 28.2% 5 → 7 councillors
  3. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 27.7% → 22.1% 8 → 6 councillors
  4. VOXVox 2.3% → 5.9% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 2.7% → 2.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CONTAMOS GA.S GLGLocal lists 0.8% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. UCINLocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. PODEMOS-EU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 1.4% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 49,230 valid votes including 568 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Lugo in size, in Lugo

Every municipality in Lugo → · All of Spain →