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Folgoso do Courel: PP would keep its majority

Folgoso do Courel (Lugo, 985 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 54.8% of the vote (2023: 54.3%) Majority 88%
I.G.V.- C.I.F.+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 34.6% of the vote (2023: 32.6%) Majority 2%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.2% of the vote (2023: 12.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 9% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Folgoso do Courel

Folgoso do Courel is a municipality in the province of Lugo with 985 inhabitants, the 61st largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 54.3% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; I.G.V.- C.I.F. was second with 2. 91.2% of the 940 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 88% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 54.3% → 54.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. I.G.V.- C.I.F.Local lists 32.6% → 34.6% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 12.8% → 10.2% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 857 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Folgoso do Courel in size, in Lugo

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