Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cervantes: PSDEG-PSOE would keep its majority

Cervantes (Lugo, 1,250 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSDEG-PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 51.0% of the vote (2023: 54.7%) Majority 69%
PP−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 37.6% of the vote (2023: 37.8%) Majority 4%
B.N.G.+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.9% of the vote (2023: 6.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 27% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 54.7% → 51.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 37.8% → 37.6% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. B.N.G.BNG 6.9% → 10.9% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 925 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cervantes in size, in Lugo

Every municipality in Lugo → · All of Spain →