Tornabous: ERC - AM would win a majority
Tornabous (Lleida, 847 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 52%ERC - AM majority
- 368valid votes in 2023 (64% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ERC - AM+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 47.4% of the vote (2023: 42.4%)
Majority 52%
PV-AMUNT−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 46.4% of the vote (2023: 51.4%)
Majority 48%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 42.4% → 47.4% 3 → 4 councillors
- PV-AMUNTCUP 51.4% → 46.4% 4 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 368 valid votes including 23 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.