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Prullans: CM would keep its majority

Prullans (Lleida, 264 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 60.5% of the vote (2023: 66.5%) Majority 95%
IP-AM+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 37.7% of the vote (2023: 29.3%) Majority 5%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Prullans

Prullans is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 264 inhabitants, the 157th largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 66.5% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; IP-AM was second with 2. 83.2% of the 197 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 95% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 66.5% → 60.5% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. IP-AMERC 29.3% → 37.7% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. CXP - CPPSOE 3.0% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 164 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Prullans in size, in Lleida

Every municipality in Lleida → · All of Spain →