Olius: CM would keep its majority
Olius (Lleida, 985 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 72%CM majority
- 519valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CM±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 48.8% of the vote (2023: 52.8%)
Majority 72%
ARA PL±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 41.4% of the vote (2023: 39.1%)
Majority 25%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 52.8% → 48.8% 4 → 4 councillors
- ARA PLLocal lists 39.1% → 41.4% 3 → 3 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 5.6% → 7.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 519 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.